Odds
- Odds are another way to express probability.
- The Odds against an event E = P(not E)/P(E)
- The Odds in favor of an event E = P(E)/P(not E)
- Odds at most gambling establishments are odds against unless otherwise noted.
- If the odds of an event E occurring are a/b, P(E) = a/(a+b)
- Do exercises P 745 9, 13-16, 17-20,
Expected Value
- Expected value is a tool to determine what will happen in the long run in a game that involves profit or loss.
- E = P1×A1 + P2×A2+ ... + Pn×An
- The individual events should be disjoint.
- The individual events should cover the entire event space.
- The Fair Price for a game is expected value + price to play
- Do Page 756 number 11, 12, 17
- A card is drawn from a standard 52 card deck and you win if a heart is drawn. If you pay $15 to play the game, and are paid $30 if you win, what is the expected value of the game.
- Do problem 26